Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS-

ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR-

LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA-

MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE-

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TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO-

1235 PM CST TUE NOV 14 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS...

AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY FOR MOST OF THE OUTLOOK

AREA TONIGHT. THE AREA OF GREATEST RISK APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND

WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM. THE POTENTIAL

FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL SPREAD EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 AFTER

MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER

NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND SECTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST  MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM

CLEVELAND TO BUDE.

A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DIGGING SOUTHEAST FROM THE

CENTRAL ROCKIES TODAY WILL SPIN UP A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER

THE RED RIVER VALLEY THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THIS

EVENING. ISOLATED  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER

WEST AND SOUTHWEST AREAS BY LATE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT

THAT WILL LIFT INTO LOUISIANA TODAY AND PIVOT INTO WEST

MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING. DEEP MOISTURE AND WIND SHEAR WILL

INCREASE RAPIDLY ALONG AND BEHIND THE WARM FRONT. THIS WILL ALLOW

THUNDERSTORMS TO ERUPT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT

TONIGHT. THESE STORMS SHOULD INITIALLY BE SCATTERED IN NATURE IN

THE WESTERN HALF OF THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT BUT THEN EVOLVE INTO

A SQUALL LINE AS THEY MOVE FARTHER EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEVERE

STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE

HAIL AND TORNADOES. THE PRIMARY TORNADO RISK WILL OCCUR LATE

TONIGHT AND A FEW STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...FLOODING...

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH STRONG TO SEVERE

THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL BE SCATTERED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA

TONIGHT. PONDING WATER SHOULD BE EXPECTED ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW

LYING AREAS AS THE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. RAINFALL WILL BE LOCALLY

HEAVIER WHERE STORMS TRACK ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS SEVERAL

TIMES...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR STANDING WATER ON ROADWAYS

AND IN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

...DAYS TWO AND THREE...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY

MORNING FOR THE AREA EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SEVERE

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM A SQUALL LINE EARLY WEDNESDAY

MORNING AND ACCELERATE EASTWARD. DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE

SQUALL LINE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL

AND TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECASTS AND

STATEMENTS ON THIS POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS SITUATION.

ALL OF THE STORMS SHOULD EXIT EAST MISSISSIPPI BY ABOUT MID

AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...WEDNESDAY WILL BE

VERY WINDY. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...SUSTAINED WEST WINDS OF 20 TO

25 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH SPEEDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE OF 30 TO 40

MPH. THESE STRONGER WINDS MAY MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE DURING THE

DAY RESULTING IN WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE

TWENTY.

...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER

OPERATIONS IS REQUESTED FOR AREAS NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND

SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND FOR ALL AREAS

TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AFTER WEDNESDAY...ACTIVATION

IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS

WEATHER OUTLOOK.